The Christian Science
Monitor
Commentary>Opinion
from the January
04, 2007 edition
Middle-class
woes? A letter to Lou Dobbs.
America's
trade deficit is evidence of its economic vigor and promise, not a cause for
concern.
By Donald J.
Boudreaux
FAIRFAX, VA.
– Dear Mr. Dobbs, Congratulations on having a large new bloc of voters
bear your name! Politicians ignore the "Lou Dobbs Democrats" at their
peril.
Every night on
CNN you claim to speak for these people. They are America's middle class:
decent folks who work hard and play by the rules but who, you insist, are
abused by the powerful elite. Free trade is one of the policies allegedly
supported by the elite and for which you reserve special vitriol. You thunder
that imports destroy American jobs, reduce wages, and make the economy
perilously "unbalanced."
But you are
mistaken.
First, some
basic facts about the state of middle-class Americans. The US unemployment rate
now is at a healthy 4.5 percent. This rate is lower than the average annual
unemployment rate for the 1970s (6.2 percent), the 1980s (7.3 percent), and
even the high-growth 1990s (5.6 percent). Inflation, meanwhile, is running
below the average for the 70s, 80s, and 90s.
Here's more good
news for ordinary Americans. The percentage of Americans who own their own
homes is higher than ever, even though the size of today's typical home is
larger than ever. Workers' leisure time, too, is at historically high levels.
And jobs are just as secure today as they were in the late 1960s, according to
a research paper by University of California-Davis economist Ann Huff Stevens.
Perhaps you
think that this prosperity exists only because so many of today's households
require two income earners. But women started leaving homes for paid employment
at least a century ago, with no jump since the end of World War II in the rate
at which women enter the workforce, according to a recent report by the Bureau
of Labor Statistics.
Had worker pay
truly deteriorated in the past 30 years, and had families reacted by sending
moms to the workforce, the rate at which women join the workforce would have
increased. It did not.
Today, the
percentage of household expenditures used to buy nonessential items is at an
all-time high - about 50 percent compared with about 45 percent in the
mid-1970s. That undercuts your notion that two incomes are needed just to
scrape by. Not only is America's middle class not disappearing - it's thriving.
Perhaps you miss
this fact because you are misled by familiar trade jargon. In your book,
"Exporting America," in your columns, and on your television show you
complain vigorously and often about America's trade deficit. You call it
"staggering," and wonder how long America can continue to run such
deficits.
Admittedly, the
word "deficit" sounds ominous. In fact, though, America's trade
deficit is evidence of its economic vigor and promise. Here's why:
When Americans
buy foreign-made goods and services, foreigners earn dollars. The only way
America would run no trade deficit is if foreigners spent all of these dollars
buying goods and services from Americans. Instead, though, foreigners invest
some of their dollars in America. They buy American corporate stock, they build
their own factories and retail outlets in the US, they lend dollars to Uncle
Sam, and they hold some dollars in reserve as cash.
Aren't you proud
that so many people the world over eagerly invest their hard-earned wealth in
America?
As an American,
I'm proud and optimistic. Foreigners invest in the US so readily because its
economy is so strong. And even better, these investments strengthen the economy
by creating more capital for American workers. These investments raise workers'
productivity and wages.
Remember: A
trade deficit is not synonymous with debt.
I'm writing this
letter on a new Sony computer that I bought with cash. I owe Sony nothing. If
Sony holds the dollars it earned from this sale, or if it uses these dollars to
buy stock in General Electric or land in Arizona - that is, as long as Sony
invests its dollars in America in ways other than lending it to Americans - the
US trade deficit rises without raising Americans' indebtedness.
Americans go
more deeply into debt to foreigners only when Americans borrow money from
foreigners. Uncle Sam, of course, borrows a lot of money, from both Americans
and from non-Americans. I share your concern about the reckless spending and
borrowing practiced by politicians in Washington.
Foreigners,
however, are not to blame for this recklessness. Indeed, I'm grateful that
foreigners stand ready to help us pay the cost of our overblown government.
Fortunately, Washington's spending binges are not serious enough to cripple
America's entrepreneurial economy. If they were, foreigners would refuse to
invest here.
If you're still
skeptical that America's trade deficit is no cause for concern, perhaps you'll
be persuaded by Adam Smith, who wrote that "Nothing, however, can be more
absurd than this whole doctrine of the balance of trade."
Smith correctly
understood that with free trade, the economy becomes larger than any one nation
- a fact that brings more human creativity, more savings, more capital, more
specialization, more opportunity, more competition, and a higher standard of
living to all those who can freely trade.
Sincerely,
Donald J.
Boudreaux
Chairman,
Department of Economics, George Mason University.